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UBS: It is estimated that by 2025, the price of Brent crude oil will rise to $80/barrel and WTI crude oil will rise to $75/barrel. Have a constructive view on the prospect of natural gas price in 2025 (the forecast is $3.50/million British heat in June and $3.60/million British heat in September).As of the close of early trading, the Nikkei 225 index fell by 0.65% and the Dongzheng index fell by 0.2%.The dividend low-wave ETF(512890) attracted 2.35 billion yuan in the last five days, with the latest scale of 10.8 billion yuan. On December 11th, the dividend low-wave ETF(512890) rose by 0.27%, with a turnover of 234 million yuan and the latest scale of 10.8 billion yuan. In terms of capital flow, it attracted 2.35 billion yuan in the last five days and 2.81 billion yuan in the last 10 days. In the news, recently, the dividend-themed ETFs have been reported frequently. The fund sizes of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend-themed ETFs in the whole market, exceeded 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. Huatai Bairui Fund said that on the one hand, this year's insurance funds frequently placarded, indicating that the pace of insurance funds entering the market has accelerated; On the other hand, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds has continued to decline and has entered the "1" era. Under the low interest rate environment, it has become inevitable that medium and long-term funds will increase the overall investment income by allocating equity assets. Investors can borrow the dividend low-wave ETF(512890) and its linked funds (Class A 007466, Class C 007467) layout.

It is reported that Walgreens Boots Alliance is negotiating to sell itself to a private equity company, which will delist the drugstore chain. The company's share price has been declining for nearly ten years. According to informed sources, Wobolian and Sycamore Partners have been discussing a deal, which may be completed as early as early next year, provided that the negotiations do not break down. It is reported that the market value of Wobolian peaked at more than 100 billion US dollars in 2015, but it has shrunk to about 7.5 billion US dollars since then.On the first anniversary of listing, the index of Morgan Standard & Poor's Hong Kong Stock Connect low-wave dividend ETF has risen by more than 20% in the past year. Since the beginning of this year, the performance of high dividend assets in Hong Kong stocks has been eye-catching, which has driven the relevant dividend index to strengthen. Wind data shows that as of December 10th, the low-wave dividend index of S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect rose by 27.16% in the past year, significantly exceeding the increase of 12.01% in the CSI dividend index and 17.76% in the CSI dividend low volatility index. As the only ETF tracking the low-wave dividend index of S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect in China, it is also the largest ETF of its kind. Morgan S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low-wave dividend ETF(513630) may become the preferred configuration for many investors. (CSI)Shenzhen reports an explosion in a residential building: fire rescue forces have arrived, and Shenzhen Fire Release Report: At 14: 46 on December 11, 2024, Shenzhen Fire Rescue Detachment received an alarm: an alarm occurred in Yuefu Phase II Building, Yuehai Street, Nanshan District, and the command center dispatched 16 fire engines and 80 fire rescue personnel from the first battle force to the scene for disposal, and the full-time command group of Nanshan Brigade was dispatched. At present, fire rescue forces have arrived, and the specific situation needs further verification.

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.South Korea's opposition parties condemned Yin Xiyue's office for preventing the police from searching.On the 11th, alumina fell by 3.61%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract alumina 2502 closed, with a volume of 174,600 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 10,936 lots. The total turnover of alumina futures contracts was 452,500 lots, an increase of 77,000 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 264,800 lots, a decrease of 4,558 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 215,500 lots, a decrease of 1,290 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)